ElectricStorm Posted May 5, 2022 Author Share Posted May 5, 2022 Seeing several reports of severe damage in Lockett. Hopefully everyone is ok 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted May 5, 2022 Share Posted May 5, 2022 Fortunately very rural!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 5, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 5, 2022 (edited) Supercell behavior is just absolutely fascinating. Not sure if this is a new supercell developing or what, but a new meso/tornadic circulation appears to be developing south of Vernon. This puts Oklaunion in the crossheir. Edited May 5, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 5, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 5, 2022 Per HRRR, we still have about 5 hours of significant severe weather. The tornado threat will likely lower quite a bit once the MCS starts to develop, but the MCS still looks really nasty, and shear strongly favors continued tornadoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted May 5, 2022 Share Posted May 5, 2022 More populated. Need to take cover. This one could go anytime!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted May 5, 2022 Admin Share Posted May 5, 2022 25 minutes ago, OKwx_2001 said: Vernon storm took a hard left and looks like it's heading right for the town Chasers are stuck there. Really not a smart move on their part tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted May 5, 2022 Admin Share Posted May 5, 2022 11 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: thing that makes sense to me is a substantial increase in the nocturnal LLJ. 100% agree here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 5, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 5, 2022 For the first time in several hours, looks like the Texas supercell might not warrant a tornado warning soon. But the newer Oklahoma supercell still warrants a tornado warning and has some serious potential even though it hasn't produced a confirmed tornado warning in a while. Also wouldn't rule out the original Oklahoma supercell for a new tornado. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted May 5, 2022 Admin Share Posted May 5, 2022 10 minutes ago, OKwx_2001 said: Seeing several reports of severe damage in Lockett. Hopefully everyone is ok Debris sig looks like it hit about 17-18k feet. That's pretty damn strong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 5, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 5, 2022 1 minute ago, Uscg Ast said: Debris sig looks like it hit about 17-18k feet. That's pretty damn strong. Yeah that's EF3-4 range. Not surprised at all about that actually. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted May 5, 2022 Author Share Posted May 5, 2022 New watch up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted May 5, 2022 Admin Share Posted May 5, 2022 3 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Yeah that's EF3-4 range. Not surprised at all about that actually. Man. Will chasers ever learn not to be left of a very powerful tornado... I hope those chasers are OK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted May 5, 2022 Admin Share Posted May 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, OKwx_2001 said: New watch up Personally.. I would have included OKC... But they have just a littlleee bit more experience than me. 😅 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 5, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 5, 2022 (edited) 2 minutes ago, Uscg Ast said: Man. Will chasers ever learn not to be left of a very powerful tornado... I hope those chasers are OK. In their defense, much like the veteran chasers who died in the 2013 El Reno tornado, sometimes these dramatic left turns are unpredictable. I don't think anyone saw this one coming. Tornadoes that take a left turn don't usually last long, and they usually weaken while they do it. Edited May 5, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted May 5, 2022 Author Share Posted May 5, 2022 Just now, Uscg Ast said: Personally.. I would have included OKC... But they have just a littlleee bit more experience than me. 😅 Warm front is south of OKC and just south of Norman now so there's not really much of a tornado threat for OKC. SPC mentioned putting up a severe thunderstorm watch for areas north of the front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted May 5, 2022 Admin Share Posted May 5, 2022 Just now, ClicheVortex2014 said: In their defense, much like the veteran chasers who died in the 2013 El Reno tornado, sometimes these dramatic left turns are unpredictable. I don't think anyone saw this one coming. But herein lies the rub to me. That RFD is inherently unpredictable. So when that finally occludes and cuts off... It's without notice and you are left to suffer the full intensity of the cyclone combined with the demise of it on top of you 😕 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted May 5, 2022 Author Share Posted May 5, 2022 This cell looks like it's right on the boundary. If it can make a right turn it could be a problem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted May 5, 2022 Admin Share Posted May 5, 2022 8 minutes ago, OKwx_2001 said: Warm front is south of OKC and just south of Norman now so there's not really much of a tornado threat for OKC. SPC mentioned putting up a severe thunderstorm watch for areas north of the front I have no doubt they're likely correct.. My concern becomes how quickly these MCS can change the atmosphere. OKC is right on that line. It won't take much to move that front and an MCS.. I've seen it do weirder things. Then again severe wx is not my specialty. I may just be spouting nonsense and backing it up in my head with my "knowledge" 😂 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted May 5, 2022 Share Posted May 5, 2022 (edited) Wouldn't rule out a brief tornado from this storm maybe on the southern end there. Might be going high-based though Edited May 5, 2022 by Neoncyclone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 5, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 5, 2022 12 minutes ago, Uscg Ast said: But herein lies the rub to me. That RFD is inherently unpredictable. So when that finally occludes and cuts off... It's without notice and you are left to suffer the full intensity of the cyclone combined with the demise of it on top of you 😕 Well that is fair... in this case, any chaser that got caught in the tornado would've been torrential rainfall before it occludes. Not sure why they would've been there in the first place. But then again I'm not a chaser so they might've had a reason 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted May 5, 2022 Share Posted May 5, 2022 Might see another tornado in eastern Oklahoma Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted May 5, 2022 Share Posted May 5, 2022 Wow, Reed got some more incredible footage today, he's been hitting the best storms the last couple of days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 5, 2022 Share Posted May 5, 2022 26 minutes ago, Uscg Ast said: Debris sig looks like it hit about 17-18k feet. That's pretty damn strong. I still can never figure out how to use the 2D slice feature to find such information. Here is my best try. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 5, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 5, 2022 (edited) 3 minutes ago, Chinook said: I still can never figure out how to use the 2D slice feature to find such information. Here is my best try. I really struggle with it and you might have something there but typically you want to see a tilted plume of low CCs. The low CC above 20k feet might be hail but you also might've got lucky with finding debris. Not sure. I'm sure I'll find it on my Twitter feed eventually. Edited May 5, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted May 5, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted May 5, 2022 1 minute ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: I really struggle with it and you might have something there but typically you want to see a tilted plume of low CCs. The low CC above 20k feet might be hail but you also might've got lucky with finding debris. Not sure. I'm sure I'll find it on my Twitter feed eventually. You've gotta think about the winds aloft and predict where the debris plume would be in a cross section. I somewhat rarely have success using GR2. I suspect there's another radar program that makes it easier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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