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April 27-May 6, 2022 | Tornado Outbreak Sequence


ElectricStorm

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8 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said:

No tornado warning yet @Iceresistance you're safe in Tecumseh but if you have friends/family east/southeast of you, they needa be ready to take shelter. Gotta be an intensely rotating wall cloud

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It is now.

Quote
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Norman OK
805 PM CDT Wed May 4 2022

The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Northwestern Seminole County in east central Oklahoma...
  Central Pottawatomie County in central Oklahoma...

* Until 845 PM CDT.

* At 805 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located near Brooksville, moving northeast at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado and golf ball size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree
           damage is likely.

* Locations impacted include...
  Shawnee, Seminole, Tecumseh, Maud, Earlsboro, Brooksville and
  Harjo.

This includes Interstate 40 near mile marker 198.

 

 

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Just now, Neoncyclone said:

There's such good spacing still, i'm not seeing how we end up with a giant MCS yet

One can doubt HRRR's ability to predict supercells, but never underestimate its ability to predict a MCS. 😄

Cold front is gonna catch up and it'll happen pretty rapidly

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Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
814 PM CDT Wed May 4 2022

OKC125-133-050145-
/O.CON.KOUN.TO.W.0038.000000T0000Z-220505T0145Z/
Seminole OK-Pottawatomie OK-
814 PM CDT Wed May 4 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN SEMINOLE AND CENTRAL POTTAWATOMIE COUNTIES...

At 814 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Brooksville,
moving northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and golf ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Shawnee, Seminole, Tecumseh, Maud, Earlsboro, Brooksville and Harjo.

 

 

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The supercell in NW TX isn't getting as much attention because it's been mostly rural and the Oklahoma supercells have been far more impactful, but this supercell has been putting down confirmed tornadoes for 2-3 hours now (thanks to storm chasers who obviously hit the jackpot). Still going strong. And I posted, like, 30-40 mins ago that Crowell is about to get buried in hail. Well, they're still getting hail.

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Edited by ClicheVortex2014
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1 minute ago, ClicheVortex2014 said:

The supercell in NW TX isn't getting as much attention because it's been mostly rural and the Oklahoma supercells have been far more impactful, but this supercell has been putting down confirmed tornadoes for 2-3 hours now (thanks to storm chasers who obviously hit the jackpot). Still going strong. And I posted, like, 30-40 mins ago that Crowell is about to get buried in hail. Well, they're still getting hail.

image.thumb.png.73b57511c9bd28f495f63d694b35d744.png

Absolute beast of a supercell

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Should be a surprise to absolutely no one... moderate risk maintained with the last day 1 of the day.

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Unfortunately for Seminole and Cromwell, they still have to go through the MCS. So Seminole is gonna have 3 rounds of significant severe weather today.

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DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK    
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0800 PM CDT WED MAY 04 2022  
  
VALID 050100Z - 051200Z  
  
...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF  
SOUTHERN/CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS...  
   
..SUMMARY  
  
NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS OF THE  
SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS TONIGHT. A FEW TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE HAIL  
ARE MOST PROBABLE ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA  
INTO NORTH TEXAS THIS EVENING. WIND DAMAGE AS WELL AS TORNADOES WILL  
REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA  
OVERNIGHT.  
   
..SOUTHERN PLAINS  
  
MULTIPLE SUPERCELLS ARE ONGOING THIS EVENING ALONG/EAST OF A DRYLINE  
ACROSS PARTS OF WEST TX, AND NEAR A STATIONARY SURFACE BOUNDARY  
ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL OK. STORM COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE  
THIS EVENING, AS A SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET INCREASES AND A  
MID/UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE  
WEST.   
  
THE ENVIRONMENT WILL REMAIN QUITE FAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION  
THIS EVENING INTO LATE TONIGHT, WITH MLCAPE OF 1500-3000 J/KG IN  
PLACE ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF 45-60 KT. 0-1 KM  
SRH OF 200-300 M2/S2 WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A TORNADO THREAT  
(POTENTIALLY STRONG), ESPECIALLY WITH ANY SUSTAINED DISCRETE  
SUPERCELLS NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE EFFECTIVE SURFACE BOUNDARY.   
  
ONGOING SUPERCELLS APPROACHING PARTS OF SOUTHWEST OK AND WESTERN  
NORTH TX WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT OF TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE  
HAIL THIS EVENING. RENEWED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE SURFACE  
BOUNDARY MAY EVOLVE INTO ONE OR MORE SUPERCELLS ACROSS CENTRAL AND  
SOUTHERN OK, WHICH COULD ALSO POSE A THREAT OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND  
TORNADOES. UPSCALE GROWTH INTO ONE OR MORE EASTWARD-MOVING CLUSTERS  
IS POSSIBLE WITH TIME, WHICH COULD LEAD TO INCREASE IN THE DAMAGING  
WIND POTENTIAL LATER TONIGHT INTO CENTRAL/EASTERN OK.   
   
..EASTERN NC AND VICINITY  
  
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN GRADUALLY DECREASING IN COVERAGE AND  
INTENSITY THIS EVENING, BUT THE ONGOING STORMS ACROSS EASTERN NC MAY  
POSE A CONTINUED THREAT FOR ISOLATED HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS  
UNTIL AROUND 02-03Z.  

 

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