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April 27-May 6, 2022 | Tornado Outbreak Sequence


ElectricStorm

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3 minutes ago, junior said:

The cell south west of Vernon, TX is a classic seagull supercell. 

some storm chasers saw two or three tornadoes mostly in rural country along that area south of Paducah in the last hour or more. they kind of looked brown with the dirt

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  • Meteorologist

Damn, SPC beat me to it

image.png.be14a3ffb10cb5c2a250b02961c1be28.png

 Mesoscale Discussion 0649
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0719 PM CDT Wed May 04 2022

   Areas affected...East-central Oklahoma

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 176...

   Valid 050019Z - 050115Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 176 continues.

   SUMMARY...A supercell thunderstorm near the Seminole/Okfuskee County
   border will continue in a favorable environment for the next 1-2
   hours. A local areal extension of WW 176 may be needed.

   DISCUSSION...A supercell which has produced tornadoes over the past
   hour will continue in a favorable environment for the next 1-2 hours
   as it moves northeast. Inflow air into the storm remains in the
   mid/upper 70s F with dewpoints having increased by a degree ahead of
   it (into the upper 60s F). This mature storm should be able to
   maintain its intensity. A storm to its southwest has also shown
   increasing organization and tornado potential. Eventually,
   cooler/drier to the east will lead to a downward trend. A local
   extension in area of WW 176 may be needed.

 

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Just now, ClicheVortex2014 said:

Damn, SPC beat me to it

image.png.be14a3ffb10cb5c2a250b02961c1be28.png

 Mesoscale Discussion 0649
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0719 PM CDT Wed May 04 2022

   Areas affected...East-central Oklahoma

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 176...

   Valid 050019Z - 050115Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 176 continues.

   SUMMARY...A supercell thunderstorm near the Seminole/Okfuskee County
   border will continue in a favorable environment for the next 1-2
   hours. A local areal extension of WW 176 may be needed.

   DISCUSSION...A supercell which has produced tornadoes over the past
   hour will continue in a favorable environment for the next 1-2 hours
   as it moves northeast. Inflow air into the storm remains in the
   mid/upper 70s F with dewpoints having increased by a degree ahead of
   it (into the upper 60s F). This mature storm should be able to
   maintain its intensity. A storm to its southwest has also shown
   increasing organization and tornado potential. Eventually,
   cooler/drier to the east will lead to a downward trend. A local
   extension in area of WW 176 may be needed.

 

Wow that's an extremely strong frontal zone, dewpoint difference of 2-6 degrees on either side

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Cromwell may have been spared. Guy live on News 9 said he hasn’t seen any damage in Cromwell 

 

Edit okwx_2001 beat me to It lol

Edited by Bman10
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Cell in east TX panhandle has up to baseball size hail now.

Quote
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
736 PM CDT Wed May 4 2022

TXC087-050100-
/O.CON.KAMA.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-220505T0100Z/
Collingsworth TX-
736 PM CDT Wed May 4 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN
COLLINGSWORTH COUNTY...

At 736 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Wellington, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and baseball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Wellington.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 3487 10046 3507 10009 3475 10003 3475 10042
TIME...MOT...LOC 0036Z 260DEG 32KT 3484 10027

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.75IN

 

 

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  • Meteorologist

SPC highlights the NW TX supercell... i.e., the og tornadic supercell. The one HRRR has been screaming about for 2 days

image.png.1f47663aa39b2ea22387393f7f1217c5.png

   Mesoscale Discussion 0650
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0736 PM CDT Wed May 04 2022

   Areas affected...Southeastern Texas Panhandle into Northwest Texas

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 177...

   Valid 050036Z - 050200Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 177 continues.

   SUMMARY...The greatest tornado potential will continue to exist in
   Northwest Texas with a supercell moving east just south of Crowell,
   TX. The downstream environment will remain favorable and low-level
   winds may improve slightly as well.

   DISCUSSION...A strong supercell continues east in Foard County, TX.
   Tornadoes have been observed with this storm over the last 60-90
   minutes. Low-level hodographs are not as enlarged as compared to the
   east. However, with the unimpeded inflow of upper 70s F temperatures
   and upper 60s F dewpoints, this storm is expected to maintain
   intensity as of moves east. As this occurs, it will encounter at
   least a modestly stronger low-level jet. Tornado and very-large hail
   potential will continue with this storm.

   Another supercell in the southeastern Panhandle continues to show a
   strong reflectivity signature. Large/very-large hail will remain
   possible. The tornado potential with this storm should diminish as
   it will cross north of the warm front into more stable conditions.

 

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Quote
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Norman OK
739 PM CDT Wed May 4 2022

The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Southern Foard County in northern Texas...

* Until 830 PM CDT.

* At 739 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located 8 miles northwest of Truscott, moving east at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado and hail up to two inches in diameter.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree
           damage is likely.

* This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
  southern Foard County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a storm shelter, safe room or an interior
room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you
are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest
substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3384 9992 3390 9996 3401 9959 3383 9958
TIME...MOT...LOC 0039Z 247DEG 19KT 3386 9989

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.00 IN

 

 

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  • Meteorologist

Crowell, TX is about to get buried in hail. The storm is moving east at 20 mph, which seems pretty generous, but even so... the FFD orientation is west-to-east. So it's just gonna be sitting there for a while.

image.thumb.png.07fe10e2765ad1f5b2390011127e6649.png

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