Chinook Posted April 23, 2022 Share Posted April 23, 2022 the group nearer to Goodland looks like a strong northernmost storm and a tornado warned storm with possible 2"-2.75" hail on the southernmost storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 23, 2022 Share Posted April 23, 2022 There's a Supercell NW of Plainview, TX that already has a Couplet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted April 23, 2022 Share Posted April 23, 2022 (edited) Supercell just north of Moscow, KS has thus far the best supercell structure, on radar at least. It is sharing space close to a couple other cells though. Edited April 23, 2022 by Neoncyclone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 23, 2022 Share Posted April 23, 2022 4 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: There's a Supercell NW of Plainview, TX that already has a Couplet. I'm seeing the rotation on the LBB radar of the left-side couplet, where the updraft is to the north side of this possibly splitting cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 23, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted April 23, 2022 16 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: It already looks like that the Tornado-Warned Supercell has a CC drop. Nah that's just hail. You can confirm it with Zdr... near-zero or negative values with lower CC means hail. Also gotta match the CC drop with the rotation... if it's not stacked it's not a debris signature 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted April 23, 2022 Share Posted April 23, 2022 (edited) Looks like there may have been a brief undetected tornado, you can see it occlude on velocity. EDIT: Kind of weird movement for an occlusion so maybe not, tornadoes do crazy things though so who knows. Edited April 23, 2022 by Neoncyclone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 23, 2022 Share Posted April 23, 2022 my forecast point is Panhandle (the city) for the severe weather contest 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 23, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted April 23, 2022 Can't remember the last time I've seen so many LP supercells on such a large scale producing significant severe weather 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 23, 2022 Share Posted April 23, 2022 8 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Can't remember the last time I've seen so many LP supercells on such a large scale producing significant severe weather Tornado Alley was unusually quiet in the past 2 years, but it't now waking up once again . . . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 23, 2022 Share Posted April 23, 2022 (edited) Local TV met said that Saturday's event is likely a "Cap Buster", cold air aloft will weaken the cap & strong forcing appears likely as well, Saturday could be the day that will finally produce some storms. (I don't want Tornadoes & massive hail of course, Lol) Take this model with a grain of Salt, but then again . . . Edited April 23, 2022 by Iceresistance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted April 23, 2022 Share Posted April 23, 2022 Tornado warning near Bonilla, SD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted April 23, 2022 Share Posted April 23, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 23, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted April 23, 2022 Absolute HP monster 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCentral Posted April 23, 2022 Share Posted April 23, 2022 Hi quick break in to show off my slight lack of identification skills but this is the Southeast likely tornado/wind spot you mentioned for tomorrow, right? Would be good since I have Casselton or Enderlin as a initial post location for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted April 23, 2022 Share Posted April 23, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted April 23, 2022 Share Posted April 23, 2022 (edited) 3 minutes ago, SoDakFarmer said: Yeah... hopefully it lets up soon looks like it's going right at you Edited April 23, 2022 by OKwx_2001 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted April 23, 2022 Share Posted April 23, 2022 11 minutes ago, SteelCentral said: Hi quick break in to show off my slight lack of identification skills but this is the Southeast likely tornado/wind spot you mentioned for tomorrow, right? Would be good since I have Casselton or Enderlin as a initial post location for tomorrow. Looking at the HRRR, both of those options seem solid to me. Looks like a early-mid afternoon event up there. Storms may be moving pretty fast, but if anything can remain discrete it should have some tornado potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted April 23, 2022 Share Posted April 23, 2022 3 hours ago, Neoncyclone said: Here's the supercell in SD that I'm looking at for tornado potential tonight, if it stalls on the cool side of the warm front like models had been suggesting earlier today it would definitely have some potential for one or two brief, probably photogenic tornadoes. (as the high plains do) Looks like this supercell did produce a tornado, maybe I am getting better at this forecasting/nowcasting thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted April 23, 2022 Share Posted April 23, 2022 That supercell in South Dakota is a pretty impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted April 23, 2022 Share Posted April 23, 2022 Here's another view of that tornado from Brandon Copic's livestream. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 23, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted April 23, 2022 (edited) 25 minutes ago, SteelCentral said: Hi quick break in to show off my slight lack of identification skills but this is the Southeast likely tornado/wind spot you mentioned for tomorrow, right? Would be good since I have Casselton or Enderlin as a initial post location for tomorrow. Yeah not sure why the soundings earlier were showing they're elevated because this run definitely doesn't. Probably would have >2" hail threat and maybe a tornado threat. Upper level winds are kinda chaotic which might argue against cell longevity Edited April 23, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted April 23, 2022 Share Posted April 23, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted April 23, 2022 Share Posted April 23, 2022 (edited) 5 minutes ago, OKwx_2001 said: Very pronounced V-notch, no doubt that's one intense updraft, looks like it might be splitting. Edited April 23, 2022 by Neoncyclone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 23, 2022 Share Posted April 23, 2022 (edited) 32 minutes ago, Neoncyclone said: Very pronounced V-notch, no doubt that's one intense updraft, looks like it might be splitting. I could get some big points out of that Edited April 23, 2022 by Chinook 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 23, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted April 23, 2022 (edited) With hodographs like this, we're way past the supercell split phase Edited April 23, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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