ElectricStorm Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 Now that the event is mostly over, now we can talk about an underperformance. From a tornado perspective, today was by far the least impressive moderate risk day so far this year. However, from a wind perspective, the 45 hatched moderate certainly verified. There will likely be some more tornado reports from QLCS spin ups, but overall it seems like the morning convection really killed most of the tornado potential today which is good news after all the recent outbreaks. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 14, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted April 14, 2022 31 minutes ago, OKwx_2001 said: Now that the event is mostly over, now we can talk about an underperformance. From a tornado perspective, today was by far the least impressive moderate risk day so far this year. However, from a wind perspective, the 45 hatched moderate certainly verified. There will likely be some more tornado reports from QLCS spin ups, but overall it seems like the morning convection really killed most of the tornado potential today which is good news after all the recent outbreaks. Can't say this wasn't at least a possibility. The big question about today was whether there would be convection in the Southern Plains. That verified. As a result, the warm sector was quite chaotic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 Slight risk in place for NYC today, then a possible sneaky event Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 Marginal risk up for tomorrow and I'll be in it since I'm heading home for Easter. I'm gonna need it to come in clutch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 14, 2022 Share Posted April 14, 2022 There was a confirmed tornado in Stillwell, OK Yesterday, it was strongly embedded in the squall line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 (edited) The one north of I-69 is the one I mentioned yesterday & observed some of the damage. Not a big tornado but that's part of the exact path of 2016 EF-3. The DEC 10, 2021 EF-4 was just south of I-69 0.5 miles from this one. Just crazy. Edited April 15, 2022 by Grace 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 15, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted April 15, 2022 I guess this is technically a derecho but there were 3 distinct swaths of wind damage. Typical of serial derechos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 15, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted April 15, 2022 (edited) Though we're not gonna see a good verification for the moderate risk for tornadoes on Wednesday, it's looking a little better than the 2 tornado reports at the end of the day. SPC forecaster talking about what went wrong... and what went wrong is... 🤷♂️ Just one of those events where something threw a wrench in the mix. Coming from a SPC forecaster, who are the top tier of severe weather forecasters as far as I'm aware, the final sentence in this thread really represents the frustration/senselessness of forecasting the event: "However, after watching dozens of low-level circulations try to get their act together and fail, it is obvious that there was something wrong with the atmosphere today." Edited April 15, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 15, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted April 15, 2022 (edited) My mom casually took this pic of the western Arkansas supercell on the 11th that produced a few tornadoes and a swath of significant hail. I’m pissed. Edited April 15, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 3 hours ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: My mom took this pic of the western Arkansas supercell on the 11th that produced a few tornadoes and a swath of significant hail. I’m pissed. Just wait a few months for a Supercell to come your way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 15, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted April 15, 2022 5 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: Just wait a few months for a Supercell to come your way. Just gotta wait for the southern ridge to kick in. Sure is taking its time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 16, 2022 Share Posted April 16, 2022 2 hours ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Just gotta wait for the southern ridge to kick in. Sure is taking its time. Might be waiting for the month of May to kick in the SE Ridge, it did show itself for a while earlier this month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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