Grace Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 1 minute ago, ceciliaky said: was just coming to check on you. hope all is well in Mayfield. Looks like rotation is going to stay south of Mayfield by a few miles 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 Lots of Flash Flood Warnings in Arkansas & Missouri, no signs of Flash Flooding in Little Rock yet, but a lot of crashes in the past 2 hours due to the hydroplaning by driving too fast in wet conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ceciliaky Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 18 minutes ago, Grace said: Looks like rotation is going to stay south of Mayfield by a few miles thank goodness. I just saw something about Murray and Benton ... am so glad the university had already canceled many of the activities scheduled for today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted April 13, 2022 21 minutes ago, 1816 said: Not sure if you guys talk about it or not but the big difference between the west(plains?) and the south is the population density. There are towns every 10 miles all across the south. Out west there's sometimes hundreds of miles between towns. Yesterday no one got hurt. Same kind of storms in the deep south always kill people. That, and the South is the most prone to nighttime tornadoes, strong to violent tornadoes (at least in the past decade), and long-track tornadoes in general. The South also has the most mobile homes. Recipe for disasters. Safe to say the warm front has passed here. Kinda muggy especially with the sun poking out 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 (edited) Looks like a line is forming in eastern Illinois/ western Indiana Edited April 13, 2022 by StormfanaticInd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 6 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: That, and the South is the most prone to nighttime tornadoes, strong to violent tornadoes (at least in the past decade), and long-track tornadoes in general. The South also has the most mobile homes. Recipe for disasters. Safe to say the warm front has passed here. Kinda muggy especially with the sun poking out Yeah just said this when I walked in the door from work. Definitely more humid out now than earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 Also, good to see several familiar faces. Not too much of a winter poster so just found out about everyone moving over recently. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 New mesoscale discussions about Western Kentucky. Not 100% sure how to quote text from the phone yet but high probability downstream watch will be needed soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ceciliaky Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 (edited) tornado watch just issued for central Kentucky. Edited April 13, 2022 by ceciliaky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 Below is the polygon box. I’ll be interested to see if they go thunderstorm watch with the line that is building in southern Indiana or in general how that is addressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michelle Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 Getting nervous guys....hope everyone stays safe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted April 13, 2022 Good time for GR2 to decide to stop working Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted April 13, 2022 Big picture… whew 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 Radar confirmed tornado in Louisiana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ceciliaky Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 36 minutes ago, Michelle said: Getting nervous guys....hope everyone stays safe. I am, too. I've got a college student in Bowling Green, KY and I'm about 60 miles north of her. It feels weird outside. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 (edited) Wouldn’t be surprised to see a tornado warning on this soon. Couplet shown in Indy and Louisville radars. Edited April 13, 2022 by ak9971 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 A MDOT Camera has a good perspective of a mesocyclone south of Jackson, MS, the camera is at I-55 & Siwell facing south https://www.mdottraffic.com/default.aspx?showMain=true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: A MDOT Camera has a good perspective of a mesocyclone south of Jackson, MS, the camera is at I-55 & Siwell facing south https://www.mdottraffic.com/default.aspx?showMain=true Had a good perspective, I've lost it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted April 13, 2022 All the way up in Indiana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted April 13, 2022 (edited) SW OH may not get a watch but that doesn't mean the severe/tornado threat can be ignored... as is obvious by the previous post. We've got the warm front in our vicinity which can always lead to some surprises. Edited April 13, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 8 minutes ago, ak9971 said: Wouldn’t be surprised to see a tornado warning on this soon. Couplet shown in Indy and Louisville radars. Annnnd there it is. Just now, ClicheVortex2014 said: SW OH may not get a watch but that doesn't mean the severe/tornado threat can be ignored... as is obvious by the previous post Yeah I’d be surprised if they didn’t at least issue a severe thunderstorm watch in southern Ohio to cover their bases considering how the line has developed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 Winds aren’t overly impressive though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 13, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted April 13, 2022 (edited) 4 minutes ago, ak9971 said: Annnnd there it is. Yeah I’d be surprised if they didn’t at least issue a severe thunderstorm watch in southern Ohio to cover their bases considering how the line has developed. I slightly disagree regarding SW OH... maybe it's pessimism... but it's up to SPC and they only put a 40% chance on that MCD that doesn't even cover Cincy. It's possible they do go ahead and decide to issue a watch and include most of SW OH despite not being delineated in the MCD (seen that before) We've got a 100 knot 500mb jet streak pushing into our region with the negative tilt. Never underestimate a negative tilt. So between that and the warm front, I won't be surprised to see severe warnings continue into SW OH. But a watch? I dunno. Maybe if SPC said 'watch likely' on that MCD. Edited April 13, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 Lots of MDOT cameras pointing towards the Jackson Supercell, right at the Mesocyclone. @ClicheVortex2014 Do you have a good velocity presentation for the Jackson Supercell? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ak9971 Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: I slightly disagree regarding SW OH... maybe it's pessimism... but it's up to SPC and they only put a 40% chance on that MCD that doesn't even cover Cincy. It's possible they do go ahead and decide to issue a watch and include most of SW OH despite not being delineated in the MCD (seen that before) We've got a 100 knot 500mb jet streak pushing into our region with the negative tilt. Never underestimate a negative tilt. So between that and the warm front, I won't be surprised to see severe warnings continue into SW OH. But a watch? I dunno. Maybe if SPC said 'watch likely' on that MCD. I agree, they ultimately control the watches and seem doubtful it’ll be warranted. We shall see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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