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April 3-6, 2022 | Tornado Outbreak


ClicheVortex2014

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PDS tornado warning over Alcolu SC.

Quote
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Columbia SC
742 PM EDT Tue Apr 5 2022

SCC027-061-085-060015-
/O.CON.KCAE.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-220406T0015Z/
Lee SC-Clarendon SC-Sumter SC-
742 PM EDT Tue Apr 5 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN LEE...NORTHEASTERN CLARENDON AND EAST CENTRAL SUMTER
COUNTIES...

At 742 PM EDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located over Alcolu, or near Manning, moving northeast at 60 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
         is possible.

The tornado will be near...
  Woods Bay State Park around 800 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Lynchburg, Turbeville, Shiloh and Gable.

This includes Interstate 95 between mile markers 120 and 146.

 

 

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13 minutes ago, Iceresistance said:

This man in Ellabell, GA is crazy!

 

 

 

That's some movie shit. Stand on the front porch while the house disintegrates. Either that guy has huge balls or no brains. Maybe both. 

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4 minutes ago, 1816 said:

That's some movie shit. Stand on the front porch while the house disintegrates. Either that guy has huge balls or no brains. Maybe both. 

Reminds me of that guy who filmed his house getting hit by the Rochelle tornado in 2015... People are nuts

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11 minutes ago, Iceresistance said:

Or Iron Nerves, there's a point where you MUST get inside.

The inside was now part of the outside by the end of that video 😵 

Looks like the threat is almost over for them at least. 

Edited by TLChip
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Still PDS.

Quote
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Columbia SC
757 PM EDT Tue Apr 5 2022

SCC027-061-085-060015-
/O.CON.KCAE.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-220406T0015Z/
Lee SC-Clarendon SC-Sumter SC-
757 PM EDT Tue Apr 5 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN LEE...NORTHEASTERN CLARENDON AND EAST CENTRAL SUMTER
COUNTIES...

At 757 PM EDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located over Woods Bay State Park, or 16 miles west of Lake City,
moving northeast at 60 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
         is possible.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
southeastern Lee, northeastern Clarendon and east central Sumter
Counties, including the following locations... Turbeville and Shiloh.

This includes Interstate 95 between mile markers 134 and 146.

 

 

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3 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said:

Shoot, I related to the guy that shot that video. I guess that says something about me and probably my eventual cause of death.

Yeah you guys go ahead. I'll be down here in the basement. Come get me when it's over. 

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  • The title was changed to April 3-6, 2022 | Tornado Outbreak
  • Moderators
3 hours ago, Iceresistance said:

This man in Ellabell, GA is crazy!

It's easy to forget that the guy taking the video is being subjected to at least a portion of that wind. I'm sure the house blocked some, but I'm still amazed at how good that camera work was in a storm that blew the roof off right over his head.

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10% tornado area added on new day 1.

Quote
  Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1215 AM CDT Wed Apr 06 2022

   Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

   ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF
   THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S....

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms capable of producing swaths of damaging gusts,
   severe hail, and several tornadoes are expected across a broad area
   from parts of the southern Appalachians into the southeastern U.S.
   this afternoon.

   ...Synopsis...
   A robust upper-level wave is noted in early-morning water vapor
   imagery over the northern CONUS. At the surface, an attendant
   surface low is beginning to occlude over the upper MS river valley.
   A progressive cold front arcing from the Midwest into the southern
   Plains will continue to sweep east/southeast over the next 24 hours.
   Ahead of this front, a diffuse warm front will advance north into
   the Great Lakes region by the late afternoon, establishing a broad
   warm sector from the Gulf Coast into the OH river valley. 

   ...Middle TN into the OH River Valley...
   Ongoing thunderstorms along the cold front in the mid-MS valley will
   move into the middle TN/OH river valley through the day. Low-level
   moisture will gradually increase as the warm front mixes north.
   Dewpoints in the mid to upper 50s are expected as far north as
   northern KY ahead of the front and will support MLCAPE values near
   1000 J/kg. The upper-level jet streak overhead will support strong
   50-60 knot effective bulk shear, and storm motions vectors near to
   just off the cold front may support a mix of supercells and bowing
   segments. Elongated hodographs in the 0-3 km layer will support a
   tornado threat with any discrete cells. 

   ...Southern Appalachians into the Southeast...
   The cold front is expected to move across the lower MS valley
   through the morning hours. Morning inhibition and weaker forcing for
   ascent may limit storm coverage until the front reaches MS/AL around
   early afternoon when diurnal heating/mixing can overcoming lingering
   capping. Deep-layer shear will be more marginal compared to
   locations farther north, but 30-40 knot in the 1-2 km layer will
   still support a damaging wind threat with storms along the front. To
   the east across southeast AL and southern GA, guidance suggests an
   outflow boundary lingering from last night's MCS will lift through
   the region. Thunderstorms will likely develop along this boundary by
   late morning as inhibition erodes via insolation between cloud
   breaks and low-level warm advection. Forecast hodographs show mid to
   upper-level flow weakness, but low-level curvature will support
   150-250 m2/s2 effective SRH across the region. This will support a
   tornado threat, especially during the early afternoon when isolated
   to scattered quasi-discrete supercells are most probable prior to
   gradual clustering. While CAM guidance shows the highest
   probabilities for convection across southeast AL into southern GA,
   the exact location of convective initiation remains somewhat
   uncertain.

   ..Moore/Smith.. 04/06/2022

 

 

day1otlk_1200.gif

day1probotlk_1200_torn.gif

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Looks like today's fun is about to kick off soon.

Quote
 Mesoscale Discussion 0422
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1128 AM CDT Wed Apr 06 2022

   Areas affected...Portions of southern/central AL into GA

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

   Valid 061628Z - 061900Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

   SUMMARY...Storms should increase in coverage and intensity this
   afternoon. Large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes all appear
   possible. Watch issuance is likely.

   DISCUSSION...Visible satellite imagery shows an outflow
   boundary/gravity wave extending from southern/central MS
   northeastward into middle TN, moving quickly east/southeastward
   across AL. Modest ascent associated with this boundary combined with
   filtered diurnal heating across AL will probably be sufficient to
   erode/overcome the low-level inversion shown on the 12Z observed
   sounding from BMX within the next couple of hours. A zone of
   differential heating acting as an effective warm front also extends
   from parts of central AL eastward across central GA. A related
   instability gradient is generally draped east-west across this area
   as well.

   Storms should develop and increase in coverage along the outflow
   boundary across central AL by early afternoon (18-19Z), as lingering
   convective inhibition further erodes. Additional convection may also
   form and spread northeastward across parts of southern AL into
   central GA. This activity ahead of the outflow boundary should be
   tied more to modest low-level warm advection and ascent preceding a
   low-amplitude, southern-stream shortwave trough presently over
   southern LA/MS. Steep mid-level lapse rates noted on the 12Z
   soundings from LIX/TLH will overspread much of the surface warm
   sector. These lapse rates aloft combined with diurnal heating and
   rich low-level moisture will support moderate to strong instability,
   and MLCAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg appears likely by peak afternoon
   heating.

   The region from central AL into central GA may have a relative
   minimum in mid-level flow, with stronger winds aloft remaining both
   to the north (primary upper low over the Midwest) and south
   (southern-stream shortwave trough). Regardless, around 25-40 kt of
   effective bulk shear should support a mixed storm mode, with both
   supercells and multicells possible. Large hail will be a concern
   with any discrete convection that forms initially. With time, one or
   more small bowing clusters may evolve and track eastward along/near
   the diffuse warm front across central GA. If this occurs, then
   damaging winds would likely become the main threat.

   Finally, the overall tornado threat remains a bit uncertain, as a
   messy storm mode should exist. Still, enough low-level flow related
   to a 30-35 kt south-southwesterly low-level jet will be present to
   support updraft rotation and some threat for tornadoes. The best
   threat for embedded tornadoes with a bowing cluster may focus in
   central GA along the differential heating zone/warm front later this
   afternoon, where low-level shear should be locally enhanced.

   ..Gleason/Mosier.. 04/06/2022

 

 

mcd0422.gif

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