Iceresistance Posted April 4, 2022 Share Posted April 4, 2022 Ping Pong Ball sized hail reported on US-77 near Wayne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 4, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted April 4, 2022 A splitting supercell day in florida 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted April 4, 2022 Share Posted April 4, 2022 First watch up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 4, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted April 4, 2022 Doesn't appear HRRR is handling current convection well. Basically shouldn't have any strong convection until 2 hours from now. (side note: check out the left moving supercells in SW TX! That'll be interesting) Dunno about you but this cell looks pretty healthy to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 4, 2022 Share Posted April 4, 2022 22 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Doesn't appear HRRR is handling current convection well. Basically shouldn't have any strong convection until 2 hours from now. (side note: check out the left moving supercells in SW TX! That'll be interesting) Dunno about you but this cell looks pretty healthy to me Already a CC drop? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 4, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted April 4, 2022 (edited) 8 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: Already a CC drop? That's just very heavy rain blocking the radar beam. Tornado threat is very low due to very weak low-level winds and high LCL. It should go up when the nocturnal LLJ kicks in in like 2 hours. Edited April 4, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 4, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted April 4, 2022 (edited) Got a bowing segment already. The beginning of this MCS's trip to the Atlantic has begun Edited April 4, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 4, 2022 Share Posted April 4, 2022 Had an INSANE Thunderbang from a Positive Strike not too long ago, had a severe jumpscare from that! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 4, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted April 4, 2022 Tornado watch increasing Mesoscale Discussion 0398 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0625 PM CDT Mon Apr 04 2022 Areas affected...Central/North-Central Texas and extreme South-Central Oklahoma Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely Valid 042325Z - 050100Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Tornado watch will likely be issued by 0030-0100z for portions of Central/North-Central Texas. DISCUSSION...Moist boundary-layer surge, characterized by mid 60s surface dew points, is advancing north across central TX and will soon spread into the Metroplex. Latest satellite and radar imagery support this with scattered showers now evident just east of Waco into Ellis County. Given the approaching short wave there is increasing concern that scattered supercells will evolve within this more buoyant, and strongly sheared environment. Current thinking is the warm frontal position may not advance appreciably north from its current position and given the amount of convection observed over southern OK this seems reasonable. As LLJ strengthens into the Arklatex this evening there is increasing concern for the potential for tornadoes. Tornado watch will likely be warranted by 01z across this region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 4, 2022 Share Posted April 4, 2022 Another crazy Thunderbang, but it's nothing compared to the first one that caused a severe jumpscare 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 5, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted April 5, 2022 2 hours ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Doesn't appear HRRR is handling current convection well. Basically shouldn't have any strong convection until 2 hours from now. (side note: check out the left moving supercells in SW TX! That'll be interesting) Dunno about you but this cell looks pretty healthy to me Anticyclonic/left-moving supercell in SW TX verified Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 3rd Thunderbang, Shook the ENTIRE house! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 I'm now under a Flash Flood Warning, fun . . . (I live on top of a hill though, it NEVER floods!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincysnow Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 Tornado warning in texas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mar66rus2 Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 My kids are currently on a band trip to Disney, and they head home to OHIO tomorrow night. I am concerned about them driving through Florida/Georgia overnight and into Wednesday. Will this weather impact their travel, or is it more for during the day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 5, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted April 5, 2022 1 minute ago, Mar66rus2 said: My kids are currently on a band trip to Disney, and they head home to OHIO tomorrow night. I am concerned about them driving through Florida/Georgia overnight and into Wednesday. Will this weather impact their travel, or is it more for during the day? The severe threat for tomorrow in that area will be in the afternoon/early evening. Possibly beginning as early as 2 or 3pm Eastern and ending around 8pm Eastern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincysnow Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 (edited) New tornado watch includes dallas metro edit: text below Spoiler URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 92 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 720 PM CDT Mon Apr 4 2022 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of North central Texas * Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 720 PM until 200 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to grow upscale into a cluster/line and surge east-southeastward through the Dallas-Fort Worth area and eventually into northeast Texas overnight. A few tornadoes will be possible with supercells in advance of the line, as well as with circulations embedded in the line. Otherwise, damaging winds will become the most common threat with bowing segments, with isolated gusts to 75 mph possible. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles east northeast of Sherman TX to 55 miles south of Dallas TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Edited April 5, 2022 by Cincysnow Added text Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 5, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted April 5, 2022 Supercells are really liking the warm front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 5, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted April 5, 2022 Nice sounding from FWD. Good looking hodograph, deep mixed layer, solid EML. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Central Illinois Posted April 5, 2022 Moderators Share Posted April 5, 2022 I'm gonna need this to all pass south of St Louis on thursday since im going to opening day at Busch stadium 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harberr62 Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 (edited) Any rotation around that DFW cell? To the north I should say …. Edited April 5, 2022 by Harberr62 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 5, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted April 5, 2022 (edited) 10 minutes ago, Harberr62 said: Any rotation around that DFW cell? To the north I should say …. A little bit but there's a gust front advancing to the southwest of it. That's gonna complicate the embedded cells' potential. 0z HRRR. Looks dangerous around 4am-7am local time in S MS Edited April 5, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cer5059 Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 Heading to Augusta tomorrow for the first time ever....of course there will be storms probably starting around noon and ruining it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 Tornado warning with a solid meso just east of Denton 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mar66rus2 Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 1 hour ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: The severe threat for tomorrow in that area will be in the afternoon/early evening. Possibly beginning as early as 2 or 3pm Eastern and ending around 8pm Eastern Thank you!! That makes me feel better as they are not leaving Orlando until after 9 tomorrow night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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