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April 3-6, 2022 | Tornado Outbreak


ClicheVortex2014

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Looks like it will be crossing I-75 soon.

Quote
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
729 PM EDT Wed Apr 6 2022

GAC185-062345-
/O.CON.KTAE.TO.W.0042.000000T0000Z-220406T2345Z/
Lowndes GA-
729 PM EDT Wed Apr 6 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN LOWNDES COUNTY...

At 728 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located 8 miles southwest of
I-75 At Exit 16, or 9 miles southeast of Quitman, moving east at 20
mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Lake Park, Valdosta, Dasher, I-75 At Exit 5, Twin Lakes, Clyattville,
I-75 At Exit 11 and Valdosta Regional Airport.

 

 

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Seems like a good example of a supercell that has the absolute minimum amount of shear needed to maintain a mesocyclone, but not enough to maintain a strong meso. The FFD of the cell looks really anemic, especially compared to the hook area.

End result is brief supercellular tornadoes. 

image.thumb.png.22e75d09e71a74f13e71f5d006386a90.png

 

Hodograph just ahead of the supercell. Not eye popping in any way.

image.thumb.png.f4a28f69487ed7fcc45ea145588f58ec.png

Edited by ClicheVortex2014
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No longer confirmed but going over I-75 now.

Quote
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
739 PM EDT Wed Apr 6 2022

The National Weather Service in Tallahassee has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Central Lowndes County in south central Georgia...

* Until 830 PM EDT.

* At 739 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located near I-75 At Exit 16, or 8 miles south of Valdosta,
  moving east at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree
           damage is likely.

* This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
  central Lowndes County, including the following locations...
  Dasher, I-75 At Exit 11, Valdosta Regional Airport and Naylor.

 

 

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Ellabell tornado confirmed EF3+

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Charleston SC
740 PM EDT Wed Apr 6 2022

...Preliminary Findings From Bryan County GA Tornado...

A survey team from the National Weather Service office in
Charleston SC has done a preliminary review of the tornado damage
that occurred Tuesday afternoon in the Pembroke and Ellabell, GA 
areas. Damage of at least EF-3 intensity was found. Further review
of the data is required before a final intensity can be assigned.
A complete summary of this tornado is expected to be issued on 
Thursday.

 

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Mature MCS has developed out of that mess in Georgia. Strong cold pool has developed, possibly bookend vortex forming, and you can see the intense motions of the system around the northern end of the higher reflectivity. Creates an interesting rain pattern.

image.thumb.png.6e76297b995e70cb848f6450e8834733.png

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1 minute ago, ClicheVortex2014 said:

Two debris signatures. Kite, GA might be about to take a direct hit.

image.thumb.png.987d57e069e0dee8591015c773f15b2f.png

Direct hit appears to have happened. Only debris up to 5k feet so far, so maybe EF2.

image.thumb.png.41ff9ad7ae4804dd2c575a6f258b0570.png

Edited by ClicheVortex2014
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The only reason why that there was not as many tornadoes as feared is because the Shear was weaker than expected, which is a really good scenario. With one of the main ingredients for Supercells with Long-lived tornadoes weaker than expected, it has changed the outcome of this outbreak in our favor with less tornadoes (Also see 5.20.2019)

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5 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said:

Two debris signatures. Kite, GA might be about to take a direct hit.

image.thumb.png.987d57e069e0dee8591015c773f15b2f.png

NWS confirms two tornadoes.

Quote
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
832 PM EDT Wed Apr 6 2022

GAC107-070045-
/O.CON.KFFC.TO.W.0029.000000T0000Z-220407T0045Z/
Emanuel GA-
832 PM EDT Wed Apr 6 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM EDT FOR CENTRAL
EMANUEL COUNTY...

At 831 PM EDT, two confirmed tornadoes were detected. One 4 miles
east of Kite, the other 5 miles northeast of Norristown Junction,
both moving east-northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Swainsboro, Twin City, Stillmore, Nunez, Dellwood, Covena, Modoc and
Lexsy.

 

 

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New confirmed warning.

Quote
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
836 PM EDT Wed Apr 6 2022

The National Weather Service in Peachtree City has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Northeastern Emanuel County in east central Georgia...

* Until 900 PM EDT.

* At 835 PM EDT, a tornado producing storm was located over
  Blundale, or 9 miles northwest of Swainsboro, moving east at 55
  mph. Persons in Blundale and Summertown should move to a safe
  place now!

  HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree
           damage is likely.

* Locations impacted include...
  Summertown, Blundale, Three Points and Colemans Lake.

 

 

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14 minutes ago, Iceresistance said:

The only reason why that there was not as many tornadoes as feared is because the Shear was weaker than expected, which is a really good scenario. With one of the main ingredients for Supercells with Long-lived tornadoes weaker than expected, it has changed the outcome of this outbreak in our favor with less tornadoes (Also see 5.20.2019)

You're right in general but the only thing I have to point out is 5/20 wasn't busted by shear but rather by the EML being too strong. Mid-level dryness (just above 700mb) was too much and air parcels in the warm sector weren't able to make it past that point. The 45% tornado area SPC put out was for that warm sector activity

image.thumb.png.5de98394d267aee425868acc30181134.png

Edited by ClicheVortex2014
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2 minutes ago, Bman10 said:

Looks like it finally produced 

 

370342CF-ABDC-4CC6-BA08-7F3C9480CA67.png

Earlier it was SE of Quitman and now NW. Quitman itself dodged a bullet twice.

Quote
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
921 PM EDT Wed Apr 6 2022

GAC027-070145-
/O.CON.KTAE.TO.W.0046.000000T0000Z-220407T0145Z/
Brooks GA-
921 PM EDT Wed Apr 6 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM EDT FOR NORTHERN
BROOKS COUNTY...

At 921 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Pavo, or 10 miles
northwest of Quitman, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Morven and Barney.

 

 

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Quote
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Tornado Watch Number 104
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   310 PM EDT Thu Apr 7 2022

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Tornado Watch for portions of 
     Eastern North Carolina
     Southeast Virginia
     Coastal Waters

   * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 310 PM until
     900 PM EDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     A couple tornadoes possible
     Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
       inches in diameter possible
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

   SUMMARY...At least a few semi-discrete supercells should develop
   with primary initial threat of large hail. The tornado threat will
   likely be maximized near the Virginia-North Carolina border area.
   Damaging winds will also be possible as storms consolidate into
   small clusters.

   The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
   east and west of a line from 40 miles south southeast of Goldsboro
   NC to 55 miles east northeast of Richmond VA. For a complete
   depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
   (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
   tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
   area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
   threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
   and possible warnings.

   &&

   AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
   surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
   gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
   storm motion vector 24035.

   ...Grams

 

 

ww0104_radar.gif

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