TheBlizzardOf1978 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cloudy_jake Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Went advisory I don't blame them with the short range models not really coming to a consensus overnight. They can always upgrade to ice storm warnings when they see where the coldest air and heaviest frz rain are going to set up at. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zumarat Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 8 hours ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: Looks like between about 3am and 7 a few areas could wake up to a surprise inch if snow to lay the landscape That's about exactly what happened too. The one call came from the school at 5:45 announcing a delay for the kids because of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted February 24, 2022 Moderators Share Posted February 24, 2022 (edited) I think CLE gives a nice description of what they believe will happen... Quote A significant mid/upper shortwave trough crossing the Mid Mississippi Valley this evening with swing into the Ohio Valley and lower Great Lakes tonight through Friday morning. An intense near 150 knot H3 jet rounding the base of this shortwave will support a deepening surface low lifting from the western TN Valley this evening through central Ohio tonight and through central New York Friday. Strong warm/moist advection and isentropic ascent from a 40- 50 knot low-level jet over the lower Ohio Valley in response to the aforementioned jet streak will result in a large shield of moderate to heavy precipitation. The latest NAM, RAP, and HREF ensembles have continued the northward jog in the track of this low with the surface low now moving generally across I-70 and the 850 mb low moving over or just north of Lake Erie. This will pull the warm nose farther north, and will also pull it north faster. BUFKIT soundings depict this warm nose developing from south to north this evening (near onset of the steadiest precip). The warm nose is confined to between 850 and 700 mb at first but then deepens after Midnight as it continues to advance north. This supports snow and sleet at the onset changing over to mainly sleet and freezing rain. This idea is supported by HREF P-types which suggest snow/sleet first reaching a line roughly from TOL through FDY and MFD after 21Z, CLE through CAK and YNG after 00Z, and NW PA after 02Z with a change to mainly freezing rain and sleet roughly 3 to 4 hours after onset time. Soundings support a change to plain rain for a few hours overnight as well from Mt Vernon to CAK as the warm air deepens. Outside of these far SE areas, sleet and freezing rain will then dominate much of the night before beginning to change to snow from west to east after 09Z in NW Ohio and after 12Z from CLE to CAK and after 13Z in NW PA as the cold air deepens on the backside of the surface and 850 mb lows. The exception to all of this is far NW Ohio around TOL. They are close enough to the 850 mb low that the warm nose will just barely advect into that area. This means that they will stay mainly snow for the longest period of time, but we still expect some mixing there as well. Edited February 24, 2022 by Hiramite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBlizzardOf1978 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted February 24, 2022 Moderators Share Posted February 24, 2022 CLE snow and ice: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easton229 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 9 minutes ago, TheBlizzardOf1978 said: DTX says no advisories for you!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted February 24, 2022 Author Admin Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 hour ago, cloudy_jake said: Went advisory I don't blame them with the short range models not really coming to a consensus overnight. They can always upgrade to ice storm warnings when they see where the coldest air and heaviest frz rain are going to set up at. Told my FB weather page that this was likely to happen.. and sure enough lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Did the 2nd wave come through Oklahoma earlier that night, or did it really slow down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RadioWX Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 27 degrees here this morning and the dreaded "freezing drizzle" causing havoc on interstates and highways Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted February 24, 2022 Moderators Share Posted February 24, 2022 Issued around 4AM. Hopefully they work change for the worse this afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andino Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 (edited) Lots of ice covered surfaces this morning. Only 2 hour delays around these areas. I'm more concerned that this begins before kids get out of school and it will be treacherous on the way home. Hoping the timing pushes into the evening for this area but im not confident in that. Edited February 24, 2022 by Andino 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Looking at most recent data including sref temp analysis at airport in Springboro, I have little concern for ice issues. Nice bump in temperatures shown. Stay safe to those who are in a more precarious position with precip type issues. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted February 24, 2022 Moderators Share Posted February 24, 2022 12Z HRRR temps for later today and tonight (3 hr increments) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincysnow Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Lots of road closures around the Cincinnati metro this morning. Stay safe today/tonight all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andino Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Does anyone else not think that the warm air isnt going to make it that far north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Lots of Thundersleet being picked up on radar in Eastern Oklahoma, Western Arkansas, & SW Missouri Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowbelted Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted February 24, 2022 Author Admin Share Posted February 24, 2022 8 minutes ago, Andino said: Does anyone else not think that the warm air isnt going to make it that far north? I've been tracking for several decades now. The warm air almost ALWAYS wins. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andino Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 minute ago, BuckeyeGal said: I've been tracking for several decades now. The warm air almost ALWAYS wins. Got it! Lets hope it stands firm until evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 11 minutes ago, Andino said: Does anyone else not think that the warm air isnt going to make it that far north? WAA always wins....I watched 16 hours of sleet on our last storm....don't bet against it.... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cloudy_jake Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 9 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: Lots of Thundersleet being picked up on radar in Eastern Oklahoma, Western Arkansas, & SW Missouri Yep looks like the beginning of a tornado outbreak.... Except its in the 20°s outside. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 If the HRRR verifies, I am happily where the blue dot is 🙂 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUWx2 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Looks to be mostly rain for Columbus, which I’m not upset about at all. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobB Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Currently the temp at my home is 30.3 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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