Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: HRRR and RAP still throwing out bonus wave 1 snow to a few Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 One of my Teachers thanked me & was impressed by my forecast accuracy when I told her the forecast for the 1st wave on the Winter Weather. I told her that we were expecting "A lot of Sleet, some of the heavier pockets are convective, so ThunderSleet is very possible" & "The Sleet is expected to arrive between 6 & 9 AM" (And btw, I told her Husband about it as well) There was ThunderSleet & the Sleet arrived at around 6 AM My School relies on me for weather forecasts, & the first person to say it to is the Student Principal, I told her that "I strongly don't recommend in-person school Wednesday, Thursday, & possibly Friday" Also told that to my English ACT Prep. Teacher, & she really wanted to have none of it! 🤣 Virtual Learning for Wednesday & Thursday right now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellWX Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 That’s so cool! I do that same thing for my school district. I use a lot of the information that is so accurately provided from this group of weather lovers like myself. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beaver56 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 5 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: One of my Teachers thanked me & was impressed by my forecast accuracy when I told her the forecast for the 1st wave on the Winter Weather. I told her that we were expecting "A lot of Sleet, some of the heavier pockets are convective, so ThunderSleet is very possible" & "The Sleet is expected to arrive between 6 & 9 AM" (And btw, I told her Husband about it as well) There was ThunderSleet & the Sleet arrived at around 6 AM My School relies on me for weather forecasts, & the first person to say it to is the Student Principal, I told her that "I strongly don't recommend in-person school Wednesday, Thursday, & possibly Friday" Also told that to my English ACT Prep. Teacher, & she really wanted to have none of it! 🤣 Virtual Learning for Wednesday & Thursday right now Follow your passion and work hard at it. I love hearing stories like this as an educator and administrator. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Just now, PowellWX said: That’s so cool! I do that same thing for my school district. I use a lot of the information that is so accurately provided from this group of weather lovers like myself. Yes, the School & my Family relies on me for weather forecasts. They've stopped watching the TV for forecasts since their accuracy levels are lower than mine! Lol I still watch TV & models, so I can calculate & combine their forecasts & get the strongest mean forecast possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted February 24, 2022 Moderators Share Posted February 24, 2022 (edited) 15z and 21z SREF update for few in the small snow area....in this general area, right in here. Anything, below the stereo, and on this side of the Bicentennial glasses. Anything between the ashtray, and the thimbles. Anything in this three inches. Right in here, this area, that includes the Chiclets, but not the erasers. (Name that movie.) SREF update.(includes 3Z, 9Z, 15Z, 21Z) Decatur - 1.2/1.0/2.0/1.4 South Bend - 2.8/3.8/3.7/2.5 Fort Wayne - 2.0/1.7/2.5/2.3 Detroit - 3.5/4.4/3.9/3.2 Toledo - 2.9/3.0/3.2/2.9 Cleveland – 1.6/1.0/1.2/1.3 Findlay - 1.6/0.7/1.4/2.2 Edited February 24, 2022 by Hiramite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 4 minutes ago, Hiramite said: 15z and 21z SREF update for few in the small snow area....in this general area, right in here. Anything, below the stereo, and on this side of the Bicentennial glasses. Anything between the ashtray, and the thimbles. Anything in this three inches. Right in here, this area, that includes the Chiclets, but not the erasers. SREF update.(includes 3Z, 9Z, 15Z, 21Z) Decatur - 1.2/1.0/2.0/1.4 South Bend - 2.8/3.8/3.7/2.5 Fort Wayne - 2.0/1.7/2.5/2.3 Detroit - 3.5/4.4/3.9/3.2 Toledo - 2.9/3.0/3.2/2.9 Cleveland – 1.6/1.0/1.2/1.3 Findlay - 1.6/0.7/1.4/2.2 Bowling Green, OH, Defiance, OH, & Fremont, OH has the 3 inch Mean 21z SREF snowfall (10:1 Ratio) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted February 24, 2022 Author Admin Share Posted February 24, 2022 The HRRR pulled north a bit with ice. Literally like a 10 mile wobble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUWx2 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 HRRR shows a transition of rain to sleet? That’s not the usual order of wintry precipitation types 🤔 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 minute ago, OSUWx2 said: HRRR shows a transition of rain to sleet? That’s not the usual order of wintry precipitation types 🤔 And that's why i'm surprised to see some high ice totals on that run if it goes rain to sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Just now, snowlover2 said: And that's why i'm surprised to see some high ice totals on that run if it goes rain to sleet. The model is like 'Okay, which one to place down? The Ice totals or Snow totals?' "I prefer the Sleet to be included with the Ice Totals to mess people up" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Always hard to trust anything the HRRR shows outside of 12 hours. I'll start taking it seriously tomorrow afternoon. This 0z NAM run is about the time frame it starts to lock in - will be interesting to see what it spits out here in a few. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted February 24, 2022 Moderators Share Posted February 24, 2022 8 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: Bowling Green, OH, Defiance, OH, & Fremont, OH has the 3 inch Mean 21z SREF snowfall (10:1 Ratio) I'm not following. The NCEP SREF Plume Viewer I use only shows Defiance with a "station". And since we don't have a member in that locale, I don't indicate it. And why do you say its 10:1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 1 minute ago, Hiramite said: I'm not following. The NCEP SREF Plume Viewer I use only shows Defiance with a "station". And since we don't have a member in that locale, I don't indicate it. And why do you say its 10:1? I've noticed that since the general snowfall is the 10:1 ratio, most snowfall totals on the models are the 10:1 Ratio unless it's otherwise noted. (But of course, I could be mistaken & they use the Kuchera Ratio instead on the SREF without noting it) I was just pointing out the towns that had the 3 inch mean SREF snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted February 24, 2022 Moderators Share Posted February 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: I've noticed that since the general snowfall is the 10:1 ratio, most snowfall totals on the models are the 10:1 Ratio unless it's otherwise noted. (But of course, I could be mistaken & they use the Kuchera Ratio instead on the SREF without noting it) I was just pointing out the towns that had the 3 inch mean SREF snowfall. Here’s what the SREFs use… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andino Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Starting to snow here. Haven’t got any rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beaver56 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Gut tells me the NAM wobbles ever so slightly north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 20 minutes ago, OSUWx2 said: HRRR shows a transition of rain to sleet? That’s not the usual order of wintry precipitation types 🤔 Not common but a late arriving wedge could do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Columbusbuckeye Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 (edited) NAM seems a bit south through 24 hours. Sleet line is further south by a row of counties or so. Edited February 24, 2022 by Columbusbuckeye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Yea NAM is a bit colder aloft. Almost looks like its sleeting even down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 NNNNOOOOOOO SLEET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 🤬 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Columbusbuckeye Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 (edited) Edited February 24, 2022 by Columbusbuckeye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Columbusbuckeye Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 (edited) Definitely putting down some ice along and points north of the 71 corridor. Edited February 24, 2022 by Columbusbuckeye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now