Meteorologist Ingyball Posted March 29, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted March 29, 2022 Looks like we were able to talk SPC into a severe watch. Could see a couple of QLCS tors here, but we didn't think that warranted a tor watch 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 29, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted March 29, 2022 8 minutes ago, Ingyball said: Looks like we were able to talk SPC into a severe watch. Could see a couple of QLCS tors here, but we didn't think that warranted a tor watch I was wondering about that. Low-level moisture seems pretty pathetic right now. I would've been confused if there was a tornado watch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 29, 2022 Author Share Posted March 29, 2022 There's a Supercell with a Good Couplet SE of Broken Bow, Nebraska. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 29, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted March 29, 2022 End-of-the-day dryline retrogression, dust getting kicked up, and fires getting going. System is roaring. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 29, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted March 29, 2022 (edited) Tonight is all severe tstorm watches so far... tomorrow is gonna be all tornado watches. Probably will get some tornado watches this evening when the squall starts up and stronger moisture arrives in Oklahoma/Texas. Edited March 30, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 30, 2022 Author Share Posted March 30, 2022 19 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Tonight is all severe tstorm watches... tomorrow is gonna be all tornado watches. Welp, it's going to be an EXTREMELY LONG night! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 5 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: Welp, it's going to be an EXTREMELY LONG night! The HRRR would agree, impressive line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 30, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted March 30, 2022 I could see a relative lull in action in the mid-morning, but at that point SPC will probably be issuing MCDs for re-intensification. Also looks like there may be some clustered supercells in E OK before the lull. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 I'm soooo excited about tomorrow. 😐 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
voltwaffle Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 Could just see the tops of the storms coming up from the west before the sun went down. Don't expect much apart from some wind; good thing we just had a new fence installed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 30, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted March 30, 2022 LCL has lowered to around 1km in NE KS. Approaching favorable for tornadogenesis but still a little high. However, given the vicinity to the 990mb low and backed surface winds, starting to see some tornado warnings pop up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 (edited) Earlier today the HRRR was showing the storms splitting me and I only getting a couple showers. So far that looks to be the case unless those cells to the west can blow up pretty quickly. I've seen it happen many times before so I'm not giving up hope yet. Or maybe something can develop behind this first round closer to the dryline. EDIT: 1z HRRR has it blowing up right over me so we'll see which version verifies Edited March 30, 2022 by OKwx_2001 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 I don't want the hail but we need all the rain we can get. This'll be a close call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 9 minutes ago, OKwx_2001 said: I don't want the hail but we need all the rain we can get. This'll be a close call Weak rotation appearing the last couple frames. Let's not get too crazy now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincysnow Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 2 hours ago, Grace said: I'm soooo excited about tomorrow. 😐 I bet (sarcasm). Hang in there, i know your area continues to recover. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 30, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted March 30, 2022 A little concerning that ARW and NSSL both have a more semi-discrete storm mode for S MS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 Getting some much needed rain here now. Heavier stuff just to the south but it's pretty much constant lightning and thunder. Solid way to close out March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 30, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted March 30, 2022 (edited) From Wichita I watched a documentary on lightning and there are 'lightning chasers' who would travel to a part of South America that's known to be the lightning capital of the world trying to capture lightning like this. This dude just hit the jackpot from home. Edited March 30, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 Starting to see some potential for some spin ups in that leading cell east of Slaughterville (what a name) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted March 30, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted March 30, 2022 1 hour ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: A little concerning that ARW and NSSL both have a more semi-discrete storm mode for S MS I worry when that line starts going more SE than E-W across the deep south. Will probably have better crossover situation and it is unfortunate as that seems to be going into the evening hours. For sure best tornado prone area is from about central MS/AL and south of there including Eastern Louisiana again. Another area to watch is Central IL/IN to about KY/TN border this region will be under some intense lifting with the trough going negative around them into the evening on Wednesday. Really looks like quite the wind setup though. Was chatting with a fellow met they believe this is similar in idea to 4/4/11 across the area. Probably not nearly as widespread but still impactful. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 27 minutes ago, OKwx_2001 said: Starting to see some potential for some spin ups in that leading cell east of Slaughterville (what a name) it does have a warning, but several miles east of that Quote * Until 1145 PM CDT. * At 1119 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Brooksville, moving northeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 (edited) Not sure which side of Tecumseh @Iceresistance is on but there's probably a funnel right over him right now. Edited March 30, 2022 by OKwx_2001 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 30, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted March 30, 2022 22 minutes ago, so_whats_happening said: I worry when that line starts going more SE than E-W across the deep south. Will probably have better crossover situation and it is unfortunate as that seems to be going into the evening hours. For sure best tornado prone area is from about central MS/AL and south of there including Eastern Louisiana again. Another area to watch is Central IL/IN to about KY/TN border this region will be under some intense lifting with the trough going negative around them into the evening on Wednesday. Really looks like quite the wind setup though. Was chatting with a fellow met they believe this is similar in idea to 4/4/11 across the area. Probably not nearly as widespread but still impactful. 4/4 is basically untouchable as far as Southern US squalls go, but depending on how overdone GFS is with the warm sector wind gusts, there might be widespread power outages from the Gulf to Lake Erie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 30, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted March 30, 2022 (edited) HRRR is getting into the juicy part of tomorrow. Definitely got a LEWP. Not as dramatic/large-scale as 4/19/11, but it's definitely there on a more local scale which could be worse. Edited March 30, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted March 30, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted March 30, 2022 (edited) 8 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: 4/4 is basically untouchable as far as Southern US squalls go, but depending on how overdone GFS is with the warm sector wind gusts, there might be widespread power outages from the Gulf to Lake Erie. Yea 4/4 had a full longitudinal trough to work with. This is overall messy in setup but still packing a punch in a localized sense rather than widespread. Here is the reference for those wondering. 500mb included for afternoon/evening of 4/4 Edited March 30, 2022 by so_whats_happening 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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