Snow____ Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 Just noticing the High Wind Warning. Of course I got some stuff to make tonight, let me get started. Its not a lot but hopefully power stays on. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 Also as always. I’m hoping those in the path of severe storms are safe and are aware of warnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bman10 Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 Tds East of mobile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bman10 Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 TDS se of birmingham. What an insane night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 31, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted March 31, 2022 End-of-the-day-ish storm reports. Out of the damaging wind reports, 25 are tagged with 'possible tornado.' So we're gonna have much more than 25 tornado reports once all is said and done. Supercells are still going. This one near Pensacola might produce 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 Very windy still and still without power 🙄 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist Ingyball Posted March 31, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted March 31, 2022 Crazy storm, first the severe and crazy lightning, now we have 1" of snow at the airport and it's probably closer to 2-3" here. I thought I was done with snow lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLChip Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 Had this in NE observations not sure which thread we should be in. Tor warning in PA System continues to bring some rotation up into the mid Atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 31, 2022 Moderators Share Posted March 31, 2022 I hadn't seen this extended to the Mid Atlantic, which we'll consider PA and NJ part of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 31, 2022 Moderators Share Posted March 31, 2022 Surprised severe wasn't issued already as there was a tornado warning out. Valid 311607Z - 311730Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Isolated wind damage is possible early this afternoon as storm develop in western Pennsylvania/Maryland. Storm intensity is expected to increase later this afternoon into central/eastern Pennsylvania and adjacent areas of Maryland. Trends will continue to be monitored for a watch issuance. DISCUSSION...Cloud cover has continued to clear across West Virginia into western Pennsylvania as mid-level dry air overspreads the area. Though MLCAPE values remain below 300 J/kg, surface heating has brought temperatures in southwestern Pennsylvania into the upper 60s F. Low-level lapse rates are likely steepened enough to support a risk for damaging wind gusts given 50-60 kts of wind within the lowest 2 km on regional VAD winds. Into central Pennsylvania, more time will be require to destabilize as cloud cover has kept temperatures in the mid/upper 50s F. However, with the decreasing cloud cover expected, an increasing severe risk will probably occur by mid-afternoon. Southerly winds should advect increasing moisture into the area as well. Limited buoyancy and veered surface winds in western Pennsylvania will limit the tornado risk with early activity. Surface winds will remain more backed in central/eastern Pennsylvania along with greater 850 mb wind speeds. The greater tornado threat is likely to exist farther east and later this afternoon. ..Wendt/Hart.. 03/31/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 16 minutes ago, TLChip said: Had this in NE observations not sure which thread we should be in. Tor warning in PA System continues to bring some rotation up into the mid Atlantic Thread added for mid atl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 31, 2022 Moderators Share Posted March 31, 2022 And in the Southeast Mesoscale Discussion 0375 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1048 AM CDT Thu Mar 31 2022 Areas affected...Parts of eastern Georgia into the Carolina Piemont Concerning...Tornado Watch 85... Valid 311548Z - 311715Z CORRECTED SEVERAL TYPOS The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 85 continues. SUMMARY...Isolated to widely scattered vigorous thunderstorm development, including the risk for supercells capable of producing tornadoes, appears increasing probable through 2-4 PM EDT. Trends are being monitored for the possibility that this may require a new severe weather watch. DISCUSSION...Within the pre-frontal plume of higher precipitable water content, which is generally aligned with the strong southerly low-level jet (including 50-60 kt around 850 mb), remnant convectively generated cloud cover and precipitation is widespread. However, breaks/thin spots in the overcast are allowing for weak destabilization of the moistening boundary layer, and this appears to be contributing to at least some intensification of embedded deeper convection. Most notably, currently, this includes an organizing cell to the west of Waycross GA, but similar intensification may be underway across the Piedmont of South Carolina. With increasing breaks in the cloud cover probable into early afternoon, these trends may continue. Model forecast soundings suggest that low-level hodographs near the strong 850 jet axis are in the process of becoming characterized by increasing clockwise curvature, conducive to the evolution of supercells with increasing risk to produce tornadoes. While these may remain isolated to widely scattered due to the limited instability, a new severe weather watch may be needed within the next couple of hours. ..Kerr.. 03/31/2022 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0375.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 (edited) 14 hours ago, OKwx_2001 said: Not to distract from the current situation, but the Springdale, AR tornado from last night has been upgraded to an EF3. First EF3 in Tulsa's CWA in a long time. I'll have to go back and look later but I can't remember any off the top of my head in the last few years. So I went back and took a look and the most recent EF3 I could find in TSA's CWA was 12/31/10. So yeah it's been a while. Over 11 years is quite the streak there. There was a likely EF3-EF4+ on 11/30/18 but it was only rated EF2 since it didn't hit much thankfully. Edited March 31, 2022 by OKwx_2001 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bman10 Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 Richmond Va under TOr warning. Pretty decent rotation it looks like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bman10 Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 So far nothing indicating anything has dropped. So that’s a plus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bman10 Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 JEEZ. More circulation near the areas that just saw that cell go through. Hope this one doesn’t produce as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 31, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted March 31, 2022 Can monitor surveying progress here https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tornado_outbreak_of_March_29–31%2C_2022 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted March 31, 2022 Share Posted March 31, 2022 24 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Can monitor surveying progress here https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tornado_outbreak_of_March_29–31%2C_2022 I'm gonna have to get used to that new color scheme. Didn't even realize they changed it until now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 31, 2022 Author Share Posted March 31, 2022 29 minutes ago, OKwx_2001 said: I'm gonna have to get used to that new color scheme. Didn't even realize they changed it until now It was changed a few weeks ago, the intent looks like that it's to help familiarize the other color schemes the NWS uses Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bman10 Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 Possible tornado in East PA near New Jersey border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 1, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted April 1, 2022 Well I think this is gonna be a standout March 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 1, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted April 1, 2022 3 hours ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Well I think this is gonna be a standout March Per Wikipedia, the 3 March tornado outbreaks combined had 28 EF2+ tornadoes. Still a lot of surveying to do for the 30th, so that number will rise. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organicforecasting Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 Some brave meteorologist keeping their viewers, and families, safe! 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organicforecasting Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 Amazing statistics provided by Jack Sillin! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted April 1, 2022 Share Posted April 1, 2022 5 hours ago, Organicforecasting said: Amazing statistics provided by Jack Sillin! NWS nailed it once again, the entire state of MS had a Moderate risk, they weren't kidding lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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