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March 21-23, 2022 | Tornado Outbreak


ClicheVortex2014

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A third confirmed in that group around Austin.

Quote
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
603 PM CDT Mon Mar 21 2022

TXC491-212345-
/O.CON.KEWX.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-220321T2345Z/
Williamson TX-
603 PM CDT Mon Mar 21 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN WILLIAMSON COUNTY...

At 603 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Round Rock,
moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Round Rock, Taylor, Granger, Hutto, Thrall, Granger Dam, Laneport,
Hoxie, Waterloo, Hare, Jonah, Noack, Sandoval and Rices Crossing.

 

 

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And another PDS.

Quote
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
608 PM CDT Mon Mar 21 2022

TXC491-212315-
/O.CON.KEWX.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-220321T2315Z/
Williamson TX-
608 PM CDT Mon Mar 21 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT FOR NORTH
CENTRAL WILLIAMSON COUNTY...

At 608 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located near Jarrell, or 10 miles northwest of Granger, moving
northeast at 30 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
         is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Jarrell and Schwertner.

 

 

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  • Meteorologist

Before the radar went down I was seeing inbounds of 116 knots and a 36 kt outbound. That would be a 76 knot Vrot, Yikes. That will quickly trigger PDS warning once it's radar confirmed or reason to believe it will become confirmed. 

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Quote
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
638 PM CDT Mon Mar 21 2022

TXC021-287-453-491-220000-
/O.CON.KEWX.TO.W.0011.000000T0000Z-220322T0000Z/
Williamson TX-Travis TX-Bastrop TX-Lee TX-
638 PM CDT Mon Mar 21 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN WILLIAMSON...EAST CENTRAL TRAVIS...NORTH CENTRAL BASTROP
AND NORTHWESTERN LEE COUNTIES...

At 638 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located over Elgin, moving northeast at 35 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
         is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Elgin, Manor, Coupland, Knobb Springs, Blue, Beyarsville, McDade,
Butler and Cedar Hills.

 

 

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Still PDS near Elgin.

Quote
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
646 PM CDT Mon Mar 21 2022

TXC021-287-491-220000-
/O.CON.KEWX.TO.W.0011.000000T0000Z-220322T0000Z/
Williamson TX-Bastrop TX-Lee TX-
646 PM CDT Mon Mar 21 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN WILLIAMSON...NORTH CENTRAL BASTROP AND NORTHWESTERN LEE
COUNTIES...

At 646 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located near Elgin, moving northeast at 35 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
         is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Elgin, Coupland, Knobb Springs, Blue, McDade, Butler and Cedar Hills.

 

 

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mcd0296.gif.202b14ca47da97ca1d3e965245f3d16a.gif

Quote
Mesoscale Discussion 0296
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0703 PM CDT Mon Mar 21 2022

   Areas affected...East Texas...Extreme Southwest
   Arkansas...Northwestern Louisiana

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

   Valid 220003Z - 220100Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

   SUMMARY...Tornado threat will increase downstream of ww54 in the
   next few hours. New tornado watch will be warranted by 01z.

   DISCUSSION...Strong upper trough is ejecting across TX this evening
   as 500mb speed max translates through the base of the short wave
   toward southeast OK where speeds should increase in excess of 100kt
   by 06z. This feature will focus an intense LLJ across northeast
   TX/eastern OK with an eastward shift into AR by late evening. Air
   mass is expected to recover across northeast TX into the Arklatex
   region as the surface low tracks deeper into OK.

   Several long-lived supercells with confirmed tornadoes are ongoing
   across central/south-central TX.  Wind profiles are very favorable
   for this activity to track northeast across the remainder of ww54
   over the next several hours. New tornado watch will likely be issued
   immediately downstream by 01z to account for this evolution.

   ..Darrow/Edwards.. 03/22/2022

 

 

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  • Meteorologist
5 minutes ago, OKwx_2001 said:

Too bad these storms are moving into a huge radar hole...

Thankfully there’s no question as to whether they should be tornado warned given… well, everything. Just sucks we have no immediate idea of the magnitude of any tornado. One good thing chasers are good for.

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