Medina Posted March 23, 2022 Share Posted March 23, 2022 Is the tornado threat p much over? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincysnow Posted March 23, 2022 Share Posted March 23, 2022 6 minutes ago, Medina said: Is the tornado threat p much over? Long story, short. No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted March 23, 2022 Share Posted March 23, 2022 Yeah as snowlover2 mentioned earlier I'm surprised they didn't issue a TOR-E for New Orleans. That seemed to be the definition of one to me but I'm not the expert. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincysnow Posted March 23, 2022 Share Posted March 23, 2022 In between Greensboro and Marion, Alabama Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincysnow Posted March 23, 2022 Share Posted March 23, 2022 New warning in Alabama Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist Ingyball Posted March 23, 2022 Meteorologist Share Posted March 23, 2022 16 minutes ago, OKwx_2001 said: Yeah as snowlover2 mentioned earlier I'm surprised they didn't issue a TOR-E for New Orleans. That seemed to be the definition of one to me but I'm not the expert. TOR-E takes the whole input of the office and you better be dang sure when you issue one. However, this probably the time to issue one. Someone should have been going through tweets looking for the videos that were shared here. I suspect had they seen the footage of a large tornado with power flashes they probably would have issued it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted March 23, 2022 Share Posted March 23, 2022 7 minutes ago, Cincysnow said: New warning in Alabama Debris sig now. On the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincysnow Posted March 23, 2022 Share Posted March 23, 2022 6 minutes ago, OKwx_2001 said: Debris sig now. On the ground Next few updates/scans look like it weakened, thankfully. Hopefully, its not cycling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted March 23, 2022 Share Posted March 23, 2022 Insane close footage from the 9th ward.https://twitter.com/ScotPilie_Wx/status/1506447111658868753?t=03DlAG6Ys5GEtZxenQJfFQ&s=19 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincysnow Posted March 23, 2022 Share Posted March 23, 2022 3 minutes ago, NWOhioChaser said: Insane close footage from the 9th ward.https://twitter.com/ScotPilie_Wx/status/1506447111658868753?t=03DlAG6Ys5GEtZxenQJfFQ&s=19 Wow! Insane. Can actually hear the train rumble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted March 23, 2022 Share Posted March 23, 2022 Tor warning up for a small cell coming ashore east of Mobile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincysnow Posted March 23, 2022 Share Posted March 23, 2022 1 minute ago, OKwx_2001 said: Tor warning up for a small cell coming ashore east of Mobile Was that a waterspout that made it to land? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 23, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted March 23, 2022 Man I was watching SE LA at the time and saw that supercell but I guess I didn’t see it at its peak because I had no idea it was that strong. I’ve seen tweets saying it should be around EF3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 23, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted March 23, 2022 New tornado watch coming Confirmed tornado just came onshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 23, 2022 Share Posted March 23, 2022 Wow, I was away from my computer for too long. I didn't see this until now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 23, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted March 23, 2022 (edited) HRRR sounding for... West Virginia... tomorrow What in tarnation Edited March 23, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 23, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted March 23, 2022 (edited) 14 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: HRRR sounding for... West Virginia... tomorrow What in tarnation That's the 2z run. Here's the 0z run to show the whole day. I'm actually pretty impressed with this setup... seems to be a solid discrete storm mode kind of day which is pretty rare around here. The big limiting factor for tornadoes might be low-level moisture because everything else is pretty solid. Check out these hooks in NE OH. The one SW of Akron is nasty. Edited March 23, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bman10 Posted March 23, 2022 Share Posted March 23, 2022 Strong rotation heading for Summerdale Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bman10 Posted March 23, 2022 Share Posted March 23, 2022 & with that being posted a CC drop just now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 23, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted March 23, 2022 Looks like Summerdale is about to take a near-direct hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bman10 Posted March 23, 2022 Share Posted March 23, 2022 Robertsdale looks next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bman10 Posted March 23, 2022 Share Posted March 23, 2022 (edited) Thankfully looks like rotation is weakening Edit: However deeper CC drop when it went over robertsdale Edited March 23, 2022 by Bman10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 23, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted March 23, 2022 Might be another round of tornadic storms coming on shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted March 23, 2022 Share Posted March 23, 2022 2 hours ago, NWOhioChaser said: Insane close footage from the 9th ward.https://twitter.com/ScotPilie_Wx/status/1506447111658868753?t=03DlAG6Ys5GEtZxenQJfFQ&s=19 Holy shit that's as close as I ever want to get to one of those. Nope. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 23, 2022 Author Meteorologist Share Posted March 23, 2022 (edited) Dayton's back to a marginal risk. 5% tornado for E OH/NW WV DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1255 AM CDT WED MAR 23 2022 VALID 231200Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST...CAROLINAS...OHIO VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES... ..SUMMARY SEVERE STORMS WITH WIND DAMAGE, HAIL AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST, CAROLINAS, OHIO VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES. ..SOUTHEAST/CAROLINAS MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN FROM THE SOUTHWEST TODAY ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES AS A PRONOUNCED 90 TO 110 KNOT JET MOVES NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. AT THE SURFACE, A COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE EASTWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AS LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION CONTINUES AHEAD THE FRONT ACROSS GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINAS. A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING AT THE START OF THE PERIOD FROM NORTHERN GEORGIA EXTENDING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THIS LINE SHOULD HOLD INTACT AND MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN GEORGIA THIS MORNING. INCREASING INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE LINE COMBINED WITH MODERATE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL MAKE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND A TORNADO OR TWO ASSOCIATED WITH BOWING SEGMENTS AND ROTATING CELLS WITHIN THE LINE. FURTHER NORTH, THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AROUND MIDDAY IN THE FOOTHILLS OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AS INSTABILITY INCREASES. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE CAROLINAS DURING THE AFTERNOON. RAP FORECAST SOUNDINGS IN THE CENTRAL CAROLINAS AT 21Z HAVE MLCAPE NEAR 500 J/KG WITH STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR. 0-6 KM SHEAR IS FORECAST TO BE IN THE 50 TO 70 KNOT RANGE BEING ENHANCED BY THE MID-LEVEL JET TO THE NORTHWEST. THIS WILL RESULT IN A SEVERE THREAT WITH THE STRONGER AND MORE DISCRETE CELLS. ALTHOUGH SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE, SHORT BOWING LINE SEGMENTS MAY BE THE MORE PREDOMINANT STORM MODE. A WIND-DAMAGE THREAT WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON IN THE CAROLINAS AND MAY LINGER INTO THE EVENING. ..OHIO VALLEY/GREAT LAKES AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MID MISSISSIPPI TODAY AS A 90 TO 110 KNOT MID-LEVEL JET MOVES NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. AT THE SURFACE, A COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE EASTWARD ACROSS OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS AS LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION CONTINUES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. SURFACE DEWPOINTS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE INTO THE LOWER TO MID 50S F IN MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN OHIO BY MIDDAY. INCREASING INSTABILITY DURING THE DAY WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT FROM ILLINOIS SOUTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTHERN INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY. THESE STORMS ARE FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTHERN MICHIGAN, OHIO AND WEST VIRGINIA DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE EXIT REGION OF THE MID-LEVEL JET WILL OVERSPREAD THE OHIO VALLEY TODAY. THIS WILL CREATE VERY STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR MAKING CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR SOMEWHAT WIDELY-SPACED SEVERE STORMS. RAP FORECAST SOUNDINGS AT 21Z ALONG THE INSTABILITY AXIS FROM WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA INTO CENTRAL OHIO HAVE MLCAPE PEAKING AT 1500 J/KG, AND SHOW 0-6 KM SHEAR AT EXTREME LEVELS IN THE 95 TO 105 KNOT RANGE. THIS WILL MAKE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL. A FEW OF THE STRONGER SUPERCELLS MAY HAVE TORNADO POTENTIAL, ESPECIALLY AS THE STORMS INTERACT WITH THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE LOW-LEVEL JET DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. WIND DAMAGE WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THE MORE ORGANIZED STORMS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WHEN LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BE STEEP. Edited March 23, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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