Arctic Outbreak

The problem is, if it turns out backwards, it's still going to be warm. Just very few scenarios anymore that gets us colder than average weather.

Are we cancelling winter already?

I'd take this in a heartbeat! My standards have been lowered significantly after the last two abominations.

I guess I've had a skewed view of what their summers have always been like. I thought under 100 in Phoenix in July would be unusually cool.

The Jan-Jun departures look like that because we didn't have a winter. June wasn't warm at all. July has been a little warmer.

Upper Midwest has been relentlessly cool and wet all summer. Also, is anyone else surprised that 115 degrees in July in Phoenix is considered record breaking heat? Seems like normal summer desert heat to me.

I'm starting to wonder if we will ever have more than 48 hours without rain. Wettest March, April, May, and now June that I can ever remember (upper Midwest)

Winter has kind of become one long, mild, dreary season lasting from November - April. There's really no difference in the weather between any of those months anymore.

Too soon?

If it was still winter, I'd say EPS is certainly onto something. But since it's the March/April timeframe, I have my doubts.

Snow yes, cold not as much

Does anyone know how the other side of the globe fared (i.e. Europe and Siberia)? Was all of the cold trapped over there or did it just not exist anywhere?

Pretty damn good! They undershot the heat in the Upper Midwest but who could have really foreseen that?

I don't think neutral ENSO is a thing anymore.

Early winter cancellers have actually been correct two straight years now.