Al_Czervik

Best winter ever. Good new the west has had two years of good precip. That should help mitigate drought issues.

My hunch is winter is going to keep going strong until March/April for east of the Rockies and north of I 70. If we have a SSW, the downstream effects are more likely to land here.

These things can impact an area for two months or more. Especially if the Western Ridge becomes established.

I would expect that this becomes a common very setup over the next two months. Sucks that March is already in the crapper in terms of warming up.

Looking more and more likely that this is hanging around long term.

Too many cold fronts, not enough warm ups with gulf air flowing north. I personally don't think we are in for a warm or active summer. Looking into el nino conversion years, 2014 and 2000 seem like a good match. Both were cooler and wetter.

Maybe even 1992 🤮

Looking like 2000, 2009, 2014 would be a good match.

My thought is this lasts longer than the month of May.

You mention 2009, should we worry about the temps being cooler like that year? 2009 was a cool summer.

I can't recall the last time we saw this much blue across the country and especially out west.

Looking at cpc, trop tidbits, delayed spring is on. Never ceases to amaze that nearly every time the strat warms, that all the cold dumps in the eastern US. Do Strat warmings occur more frequently now than in the past?

It would be crazy if Freddie went back and forth across the Mozambique channel a couple more times landfalling repeatedly in Madagascar and Mozambique.

I am sure this will beat John of 1994 in the Pacific. Truly amazing. I love when you get these odd ball cyclones.

I expect we will see normal temps again in Mid April.